Thursday, October 4, 2018

Size, Value, Momentum in Indian Equities

The authors study the Indian equity markets during the period January 1994 - March 2017.  In doing so they seek to learn the performance of the value (HML), size (SMB), and momentum indicators (12-1) in that market over that time period.

They used the Fama-French methodology to form portfolios and determined that value significantly outperformed growth and winners significantly outperformed losers; however, small cap significantly underperformed large cap, which is contrary to the Fama French and other studies.

The HML factor returned 9.08% with an annualized volatility of 16.33%, and a max draw-down of 53%.  The size factor returned 0.36% with an annualized volatility of 14.51% and a max drawdown of 74% in 1995 that never recovered.  The momentum factor returned 17.3% with an annualized volatility of 17.06%, and a max draw-down of 49%.

The authors further mean-variance optimized the factors with market factors and a risk-free rate; interestingly, the portfolios at moderate/high risk levels primarily held momentum and value factors, while lower risk portfolios primarily held the risk-free security.  The market factor was a small weight in all portfolios.


Agarwalla, S. K., Jacob, J., & Varma, J. R. (2017). Size, Value, and Momentum in Indian Equities. Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, 42(4), 211–219.

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